COMMENTARY: Is America’s Ethnic Vote a Blue Wave Rising or Falling?

By Emil Guillermo

A week ago, there was no Red Wave. Is there a Blue one?

If you look at the other polls out there, not as much as there would be.

BIPOC voters were seen and heard on election night. And their unity is the key.

But by the numbers, it looks like the organization is starting to fray a bit.

Overall, whites made up 72% of voters on Nov. 8, according to the Associated Press Vote Leave poll. And they voted Red (Republican) 59% to Blue (Democratic) 39%.

Those of 39% are friends to traditional BIPOC voters. And we’d better hope that number grows.

With less than 25% of voters on November 8, BIPOC voters can still use all the help they can get. While they have provided good results for the midterm elections for the Democrats, it should be better.

It is not.

Why? Blues have become a little bluer.

Indeed, on election night BIPOC voters were mostly Democratic, and thanks to that, we saw an unexpected “mini-Blue Wave.”

Black people make up 11% of the voters and go 83% Blue, only 14% Red.

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That’s high, but it’s still down about seven percentage points compared to the 2018 average, according to network polls and AP VoteCast polls, as reported. published by the Washington Post.

Hispanic/Latino voters were 11% of the electorate on November 8 and were 56% Blue to 40% Red.

Again, that’s a 9 to 10 percent decrease from the 2018 midterms.

Asian Americans made up just 2% of voters on November 8 and were 64% Blue to 34% Red.

That’s consistent with what the AALDEF exit poll found in its 15-state multilingual exit poll that targeted Asian Americans/Pacific Islanders.

But in the 2018 midterms, Asian American Blue support is around 71%.

Hawaii/Pacific Islanders are less than .5% of voters and 58% Blue to 38% Red. That is lower than the AA share of Asian Ameican Native Hawaiian Pacific Islander.

I’m also surprised that American Indian voters, only 1% of the voters on November 8, are 37% Blue to 57% Red.

So, are the American Indian voters where the BIPOC voters are going? One can chalk up the race vote defeat to the campaigners. But thinking about supporting things like business, abortion, or even the fate of democracy, I think that even if there are good results, some will be tired of dividing the government and willing to try the New ideas that will work for them.

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Could this new idea be Donald Trump?

TRUMPY REDUX?

Trump, who is poised to announce his third bid for president this week, is doing that head-on. His voter turnout has fallen. For the governor, for Congress, for the state’s elected officials. He is not seen as a winner. He is a bona fide loser among losers. Even the exit polls for approval of Trump are disastrous.

How can he win? By recognizing how the American population has changed and starting to determine the race to vote.

I don’t mean Herschel Walkers, who Dave Chappelle of SNL called “looking stupid.”

I mean regular people who see themselves as liberal voters.

I say this not in jest, although I think I am.

Courting the racial vote was something the GOP seemed to have promised in 2016, but then Trump came in and the GOP embraced Trump.

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That would be ironic if expanding the voter race would be one that could help the future of the GOP and Trump — by taking advantage of what seems to be a decline. blue locks for ethnic voters.

Of course, it will also lose them to the crazy and hateful Trump base, mostly white people January 6, who saw in Trump someone who will represent their interests xenophobic in a declining white world.

That might be a good thing to see them shamelessly back in the rock.

He’s angry about what groups can make the GOP and Trump win again.

If you don’t want to see that, work to make the BIPOC movement stronger than ever in the fight for civil rights, voting rights, immigration rights, LGBTQ rights, abortion rights child out.

The race vote may not be bluer than blue, but it is still mostly blue.

And that’s all you need in freedom.

Emil Guillermo is a journalist and commentator. He plays for www.amok.com



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