Fantasy Premier League: Keeping Haaland, and finding Toney and Saka replacements

Gameweek 14 was another exciting, exciting game with implications for our Fantasy Premier League teams.

It was business as usual for Manchester City, Arsenal and a rising Newcastle United side but Liverpool lost again, this time against Leeds United.

But what does it all mean for our FPL prospects?

Changes by Ivan Toney

One of the biggest talking points was Ivan Toney (£7.5m) picked up his fifth yellow card in Brentford’s 1-1 draw against Wolves. This means he now misses Gameweek 15, which would have been against Nottingham Forest.

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That would have been his last good game until the World Cup, with Brentford playing Manchester City away in Gameweek 16. Therefore, Toney has become something to sell.

There are quite a few that can be replaced for the next two game weeks depending on how much money you have in the bank or how many free transfers you have.

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If you have two free transfers to collect money I love it Darwin Nunez (£8.9m). Liverpool’s next two games are Tottenham (a) and Southampton (h) and he looks to get most of his side’s goalscoring chances. Although their results have been poor, that is largely due to their defense. They have looked good in the final third, conceding 23 league goals (fifth highest) from an expected goals (xG) ratio of 21.42 (fifth).

Darwin Nunez

Nunez could be a good replacement for Ivan Toney (Photo: Michael Steele/Getty Images)

Callum Wilson (£7.4m) is another good option to make during one transfer. He has six goals and three assists this season and just recorded his most points in a game week (19). Newcastle are looking good this season and you can expect them to score in their next two games (Southampton and Chelsea).

Gianluca Scamacca (£6.7m) is also an option, as his next two games are excellent, with West Ham United playing Crystal Palace and Leicester City, both at home. He has now started the last six games and looks to be their first choice before then Michael Antonio (£7.0m). He has two goals in his last six league games.

If you are after a big difference, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) he is your husband. He has just 0.6 per cent of FPL players and has started Everton’s last three games, scoring one goal. His side have plenty of games, with Leicester City and Bournemouth to follow, and he is the Premier League’s top goalscorer. There is also a high probability of penalties.

What to do with Bukayo Saka?

Saka (£8.0) he had to be substituted after just 27 minutes after picking up an ankle injury against Nottingham Forest. It looks like he’ll be out for at least a week, which means it’s probably best to trade him. Since we are only looking at the next two games, we have to be aggressive with our plans and transfers.

From other sides, Phil Foden (£8.5m) it is an obvious change. His fixtures are excellent – City play Fulham (h) and Brentford (h) ahead of the World Cup – and he has been in scintillating form. However, the concern is that he was benched for the last two league games. This came as a surprise as he started City’s opening 10 games.

Haaland Foden

Will Haaland and Foden be reunited this week? (Photo: Matt McNulty – Manchester City/Manchester City FC via Getty Images)

Pep Guardiola spoke about fatigue after the Champions League game against Borussia Dortmund and said Foden is one of those players. City will likely field a weaker team against Sevilla on Wednesday, as they have already qualified, meaning Foden’s Premier League start.

For those who already have Foden, Miguel Almiron (£5.6m), Leandro Trossard (£6.9m), and Marcus Rashford (£6.6m) it is the ones that are suitable for Saka that take the place.

Almiron has been fantastic, registering seven goals and one assist this season. Only Kevin De Bruyne (£12.4m), Harry Kane (£11.6m) and Erling Haaland (£12.2m) he has more points than his 79. Newcastle have scored 24 goals (fourth) with an xG of 23.10 (second) and are now clearly a force to be reckoned with.

Trossard also enjoyed his best season with seven goals and two assists. Brighton face Wolves and Aston Villa next, which are good games.

Rashford has four goals and two assists and has really been unlucky not to have many attacks. Manchester United have bounced back after a dreadful start and will face Aston Villa and Fulham next, both of which are attractive fixtures for the attack. Villa and Fulham are in the bottom six for goals conceded and expected goals conceded (xGC), with Fulham dead last for the latter metric.

Sell ​​or keep Haaland?

The big news before Gameweek started was whether Haaland would be fit. Turns out he wasn’t, and it’s still unclear if he’ll be eligible for Gameweek 15 and beyond.

Now it’s a case of wait and see and we shouldn’t make a rush transfer – it’s a very good asset. We should have clearer information by the end of the week.

However, if he appears to be unfit for Gameweek 15 against Fulham then it becomes a discussion. A move for Kane could be on the cards. Spurs play Liverpool and Leeds at home in the next two, which are interesting games for the strikers.

The downside to this is that you will lose Haaland’s value and have to pay more to get him back after Gameweek 16, especially if you got him early. However, if he is not available for the Fulham game he will drop at least one price, and it is important to remember that we are playing for points, not team value.

If we’re in another touch and go situation where we’re not sure if he starts at Fulham or not, keeping him is a gamble worth taking. His points could be huge and City have Brentford at home next.

Be sure to check out The Athletic Football Podcast, hosted by The FPL General, for all the latest tips and tricks. Hold that free to all regular listeners and ad-free on The Athletic app.

(Photo: Barrington Coombs/PA Images via Getty Images)


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